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Adjusting technical analysis on the fly during volatility is like changing the rules of the game mid-playârisky and often driven by emotion. When markets really show their teeth, like during a flash crash or in March 2020, the last thing you want is subjectivity creeping in. Thatâs why I rely on tools and systems that have been rigorously back-tested and stress-tested through the toughest market conditions. Computers outperform humans in this spaceâprocessing data without the baggage of fear or greed. Any adjustment to my strategy is made before volatility hits, not during the storm, when emotional decisions turn traders into gamblers. In times of chaos, I trust the data, not gut instinct.
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Using an ATR indicator is a great way to monitor market volatility. If you are trading an asset that has exceeded its average true range for the day/week/month, it would be wise to wait for a pullback for entry or aim to capitalise on a reversal trade. Jumping into the position at the extremes will lead to a lot of loses as the market is likely to revert to it's mean.
'The trend is your friend until it over-extends'
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One of the biggest advantages of using technical analysis is its ability to help manage risk. We follow trends. If a trendline is broken or youâve lost all the key moving averages (and those averages are pointing down against an uptrend), itâs a signal that the trend is either under pressure or may be ending. These are just a couple of many potential approaches.
Volatility is the test that shows whether your methods are truly effective at managing riskâyour first priority as an active trader unless you have the longest of time horizons.
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In volatile markets, it's crucial to adapt technical analysis methods for effectiveness. First, prioritize shorter timeframes, such as daily or intraday charts, to capture rapid price movements. Use volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands to identify overbought or oversold conditions. Incorporate multiple technical indicators to confirm signals, reducing reliance on a single metric. Maintain a strict risk management strategy, including stop-loss orders, to protect capital. Lastly, stay updated on market news and sentiment, as external factors can significantly influence price movements in volatile conditions.